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Urban Fragmentation in a Medium-Sized City

How can sociospatial fragmentation be measured over five decades, and linked to the public policies and market dynamics that produced it?
Period
2021–2025
Location
Santa Cruz do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil
Partners
PROPUR/UFRGS (PhD in Urban and Regional Planning)
My role
Independent doctoral research: research design, data collection and database, indicators and index, spatial analysis, interviews and writing.
Data
IBGE censuses · Municipal databases · MapBiomas · Google Open Buildings · OpenStreetMap · FEPAM/RS · DAER · Public policy documents · Semi-structured interviews
Tools & methods
Python · QGIS · PostgreSQL/PostGIS · Composite index · Mixed methods

The challenge
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Segregation is usually studied in large metropolises. Medium-sized cities, which are growing fast in Brazil, often reproduce the same patterns with less scrutiny. Santa Cruz do Sul, a tobacco-industry hub of about 130,000 people, offered a chance to trace how a city became divided, from its agro-industrial boom to today.

Approach
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The research combined a historical reading of the city with a quantitative spatial model. I identified three phases of urban development, built a database of indicators and synthesized them into a single fragmentation index.

Measuring fragmentation
  1. Periodization

    Documents and interviews define three phases: 1970–1993, 1993–2013, 2013–2022

  2. Indicators

    Four families: environmental, social, housing and infrastructure

  3. Synthesis

    Quantitative spatial synthesis into a fragmentation index (high, medium, low)

  4. Interpretation

    Barriers, gated communities and social housing read together with policies and market

Results
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  • Three phases of fragmentation: agro-industrial rise and migration (1970–1993), economic diversification and segregation (1993–2013), and consolidation of fragmentation (2013–2022).
  • Physical and symbolic barriers (highways, industrial zones, natural features) that deepen inequality and limit urban integration.
  • A sharp north–south divide: the north concentrates gated communities and high-quality infrastructure for high-income residents; the south concentrates low-income housing developments with precarious public services.
  • The index splits the 144 urban census tracts into 70 of low, 54 of medium and 20 of high fragmentation: the center is the most integrated; the gated communities of the north and the social housing of the south and west are the most fragmented.
  • The city urbanized fast and extensively: from 12.5 km² in 1985 to 35 km² in 2022 (MapBiomas), with 22 gated communities and 37 social housing subdivisions approved by the City, most of them between 1993 and 2013.
  • Segregation persisted for five decades, reinforced by public policies and real estate dynamics, reproducing in a medium-sized city the exclusion typical of metropolises.

Why it matters
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The index and the database offer a diagnosis that can be updated and reused to inform zoning, housing policy and infrastructure investment, and the method can be transferred to other medium-sized cities.

I later rebuilt the index and the figures as an open, reproducible Python pipeline from the thesis dataset, checked against the numbers in the thesis: code and figures on GitHub.

Figures
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Produced by the open pipeline above.

Map of Santa Cruz do Sul's census tracts shaded by fragmentation index: low in the center, high in the north around the gated communities and in the west and south around the social housing subdivisions, with highways, industrial zone and Green Belt
Sociospatial fragmentation index, with gated communities, social housing subdivisions and urban barriers.
Histogram of the fragmentation index across 144 census tracts with thresholds at 50 and 55, and bars of the mean environmental, social, housing and infrastructure scores by class
How the index is built: distribution and dimensions by class.
Six small maps of census tracts: high-income households and gated communities in the north; low-income households, special social-interest zones and social housing in the south and west; landslide-prone areas around the Green Belt
Six of the 23 variables of the index.
Map of the urbanized area of Santa Cruz do Sul by period: a compact core urbanized by 1985 and growth toward the north, east and south up to 2022
Urbanized area by period, 1985–2022.
Bar chart of urbanized area from 12.5 km² in 1985 to 35 km² in 2022, and step lines of the cumulative area of gated communities and social housing subdivisions, rising mostly between 1993 and 2013
Urban growth and the two housing products that drove it.
Two location maps: Santa Cruz do Sul highlighted in Rio Grande do Sul, and the urbanized area in the south of the municipality
Location of Santa Cruz do Sul.